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WTPA35 PHFO 252034
TCPCP5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
1100 AM HST SAT OCT 25 2014

...HURRICANE ANA ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN
OCEAN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 160.9W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM N OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 38 MPH...61 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 38 MPH...61 KM/H. A CONTINUED
ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS AN
EXTRATROPICAL ANA INTERACTS WITH ANOTHER DEEP LOW TO THE WEST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH ANA
EXPECTED TO BECOME A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW ON SUNDAY OR SUNDAY
NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. THE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL EXPAND
ON SUNDAY AS ANA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER WROE


WTPA25 PHFO 252034
TCMCP5

HURRICANE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 25 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 160.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 33 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 25SE 20SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 50SE 40SW 20NW.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE 90SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 160.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 162.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 39.3N 156.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 50SW 25NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 44.0N 147.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 48.0N 143.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 49.0N 142.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 52.4N 133.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 420SE 240SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 160.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER WROE


FOPA15 PHFO 252034
PWSCP5

HURRICANE ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 25 2014

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

35N 160W 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)

$$
FORECASTER WROE



FKPA25 PHFO 252034
TCAPA5

HURRICANE ANA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022014
2100 UTC SAT OCT 25 2014

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20141025/2100Z
TCAC: PHFO
TC: ANA
NR: 049
PSN: N3618 W16054
MOV: NE 33KT
C: 0987HPA
MAX WIND: 065KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 260300 N3818 W15738
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 060KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 260900 N4028 W15351
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 055KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 261500 N4249 W14932
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 050KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 262100 N4500 W14617
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 050KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20141026/0300Z

$$



WTPN31 PHNC 252200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 02C (ANA) WARNING NR 049//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 02C (ANA) WARNING NR 049
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 35.2N 162.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.2N 162.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 39.3N 156.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 40 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 44.0N 147.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 48.0N 143.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 49.0N 142.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 52.4N 133.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
420 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252200Z POSITION NEAR 36.6N 160.3W.
HURRICANE 02C (ANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 805 NM NORTH OF
BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260400Z, 261000Z, 261600Z AND 262200Z.//


WTPN31 PHNC 251600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 02C (ANA) WARNING NR 048//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 02C (ANA) WARNING NR 048
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 33.4N 164.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.4N 164.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 37.1N 159.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 41.4N 152.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 37 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 46.0N 144.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 48.2N 139.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 48.9N 136.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251600Z POSITION NEAR 34.6N 162.8W. HURRICANE 02C (ANA),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 732 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BARKING
SANDS, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
251200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z, 260400Z,
261000Z AND 261600Z.//
NNNN


TPPZ01 PGTW 251823

A. HURRICANE 02C (ANA)

B. 25/1731Z

C. 35.0N

D. 162.8W

E. FOUR/GOES15

F. T3.5/4.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .65 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT YIELD A 3.5. DBO PT, AS
STORM STILL HAS A RAGGED EYE AND DT MAY BE UNDERESTIMATING THE
INTENSITY.

NOTE: BEGINNING 3 NOVEMBER 2014, JTWC WILL BE ENCODING AND
TRANSMITTING ALL FIXES TO THE NEAREST HUNDREDTH DECIMAL PLACE.
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, PLEASE CONTACT JTWC AT SATOPS.JTWC
(AT)NAVY.MIL.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

CHAPPOTIN


TPPZ01 PGTW 251451

A. HURRICANE 02C (ANA)

B. 25/1431Z

C. 34.1N

D. 163.7W

E. FOUR/GOES15

F. T3.5/4.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. 19NM WMG EYE SURROUNDED
BY OW YIELDS A CF AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 4.0. PT AND MET
YIELD A 3.5. DBO PT AND MET.

NOTE: BEGINNING 3 NOVEMBER 2014, JTWC WILL BE ENCODING AND
TRANSMITTING ALL FIXES TO THE NEAREST HUNDREDTH DECIMAL PLACE.
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, PLEASE CONTACT JTWC AT SATOPS.JTWC
(AT)NAVY.MIL.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

UEHARA

END OF REPORT
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