LiveCat Hurricane Forecast
Hurricane Jimena Severe Weather Advisory

EASTERN/CENTRAL PACIFIC TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MESSAGES
ISSUED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS


WTPZ33 KNHC 010241
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015
800 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

...JIMENA BEGINS TO WEAKEN...
...EXPECTED TO REACH THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ON TUESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 138.1W
ABOUT 1140 MI...1835 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...28.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jimena was located
near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 138.1 West. Jimena is moving
toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A significant
decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days, with a turn toward the northwest by late Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 130 mph (215 km/h)
with higher gusts. Jimena is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional slow weakening is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Jimena is a large hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up
to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds
extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 948 mb (28.00 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


WTPZ23 KNHC 010241
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 139.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 143.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 144.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 138.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


WTPZ34 KNHC 010238
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015
900 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...DEPRESSION HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 112.8W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 112.8
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest and north is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


WTPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 112.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 112.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 114.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 115.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 22.7N 114.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 114.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 112.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


WTPA31 PHFO 010250
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE KILO ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...KILO WEAKENS SLIGHTLY NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.6N 179.8W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM SSW OF MIDWAY ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.8 WEST. KILO IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KILO IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SLOW STRENGTHENING THROUGH 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.12 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA


WTPA21 PHFO 010248
TCMCP1

HURRICANE KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 179.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 180SE 240SW 260NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 179.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 179.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.4N 179.7E
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.8N 178.5E
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 25.0N 178.0E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.5N 176.7E
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 90SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 174.5E
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 171.5E
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 179.8W

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA


WTPA33 PHFO 010302
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015

...HURRICANE IGNACIO PASSING NORTHEAST OF MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 152.3W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IGNACIO WILL PASS 200 TO 300 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALL
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL CONTINUE ALONG EAST
AND NORTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING
AND LIFE-THREATENING.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD


WTPA23 PHFO 010256
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 152.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 90SE 80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 152.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 151.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N 153.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.2N 154.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.1N 156.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 70SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.2N 158.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 70SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.8N 161.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 90SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 32.3N 163.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 37.3N 164.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 152.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD


FOPZ13 KNHC 010241
PWSEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

15N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 5(15) 2(17) 1(18)

20N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 13(23) 20(43) 8(51) 1(52)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 4(17) X(17)
20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)

25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)

20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)

20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


FOPZ14 KNHC 010238
PWSEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)

ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


FOPA11 PHFO 010249
PWSCP1

HURRICANE KILO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KILO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110
KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

25N 175W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)

PEARL/HERMES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)

MIDWAY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)

KURE 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 1(12)

WAKE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA



FOPA13 PHFO 010302
PWSCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

20N 150W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

25N 150W 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

20N 151W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

20N 154W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

HILO 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

BRADSHAW AAF 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

SOUTH POINT 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

21N 156W 34 4 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

KAILUA-KONA 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

KAHULUI 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

21N 158W 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

BARKING SANDS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

HANA 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

LANAI CITY 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

KAUNAKAKAI 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)

HONOLULU 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

JOINT BASE PHH 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

26N 159W 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) 25(44) 12(56) X(56) X(56)
26N 159W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 8(21) 1(22) X(22)
26N 159W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

LIHUE 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

25N 160W 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 13(22) 9(31) 2(33) X(33)
25N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

30N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 25(29) 5(34) X(34)
30N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
30N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

35N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)

40N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)

NIIHAU 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

21N 160W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NIHOA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11)

NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)

25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)

30N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) 4(30)
30N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
30N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)

35N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 12(22)
35N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
35N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

40N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)

30N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)

35N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)

40N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD



FKPZ23 KNHC 010242
TCAPZ3

HURRICANE JIMENA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20150901/0300Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: JIMENA
NR: 022
PSN: N1618 W13806
MOV: WNW 13KT
C: 0948HPA
MAX WIND: 115KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 010900 N1630 W13902
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 110KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 011500 N1645 W13951
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 105KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 012100 N1703 W14032
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 100KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 020300 N1721 W14110
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 100KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20150901/0900Z

$$


FKPZ24 KNHC 010238
TCAPZ4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20150901/0300Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: FOURTEEN-E
NR: 002
PSN: N1224 W11248
MOV: WNW 08KT
C: 1006HPA
MAX WIND: 030KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 010900 N1256 W11320
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 035KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 011500 N1333 W11352
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 035KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 012100 N1415 W11425
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 040KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 020300 N1501 W11454
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 040KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20150901/0900Z

$$


FKPA21 PHFO 010249
TCAPA1

HURRICANE KILO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20150901/0300Z
TCAC: PHFO
TC: KILO
NR: 046
PSN: N2236 W17948
MOV: NNW 07KT
C: 0952HPA
MAX WIND: 110KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 010900 N2308 E17952
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 105KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 011500 N2337 E17934
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 105KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 012100 N2404 E17919
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 110KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 020300 N2425 E17901
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 110KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY
TCAC TOKYO.
NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP

$$



FKPA23 PHFO 010303
TCAPA3

HURRICANE IGNACIO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20150901/0300Z
TCAC: PHFO
TC: IGNACIO
NR: 029
PSN: N2212 W15218
MOV: NW 10KT
C: 0972HPA
MAX WIND: 085KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 010900 N2244 W15302
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 080KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 011500 N2318 W15346
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 080KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 012100 N2354 W15431
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 075KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 020300 N2425 W15517
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 070KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20150901/0900Z

$$



FKPA23 PHFO 312054
TCAPA3

HURRICANE IGNACIO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20150831/2100Z
TCAC: PHFO
TC: IGNACIO
NR: 028
PSN: N2136 W15130
MOV: NW 08KT
C: 0966HPA
MAX WIND: 090KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 010300 N2208 W15214
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 085KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 010900 N2240 W15258
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 080KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 011500 N2313 W15343
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 075KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 012100 N2345 W15430
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 070KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20150901/0300Z

$$



WTPN31 PHNC 010400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 03C (KILO) WARNING NR 046//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 03C (KILO) WARNING NR 046
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 179.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 179.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 23.4N 179.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 24.3N 179.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 24.8N 178.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 25.0N 178.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 24.5N 176.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 24.0N 174.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.5N 171.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 179.9W.
HURRICANE 03C (KILO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 667 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 011000Z, 011600Z, 012200Z AND 020400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12E (IGNACIO) WARNINGS (WTPN33 CPHC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN34 CPHC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14E (FOURTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN35 CPHC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


WTPN35 PHNC 010400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 002
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 12.2N 112.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N 112.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 13.2N 113.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 14.6N 114.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 16.3N 115.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 18.1N 115.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 20.8N 115.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 22.7N 114.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 23.4N 114.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5N 112.9W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (FOURTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 010000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011000Z, 011600Z, 012200Z
AND 020400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03C (KILO) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12E
(IGNACIO) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PHNC)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PHNC)FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.
//
NNNN


TPPZ02 PGTW 010307

A. HURRICANE 12E (IGNACIO)

B. 01/0230Z

C. 22.63N

D. 152.04W

E. FIVE/GOES15

F. T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.2 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. PT AGREES WITH DT WHILE MET YIELDS A 3.5.
DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
31/2216Z 22.03N 151.78W AMS2

LEMBKE


TPPZ01 PGTW 010301

A. HURRICANE 03C (KILO)

B. 01/0230Z

C. 22.47N

D. 179.62W

E. FOUR/GOES15

F. T4.5/5.5/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD A DT
OF 5.5. MET YIELDS A 5.0 WHILE PT YIELDS A 4.5. DBO PT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
31/2127Z 22.00N 179.48W MMHS
31/2213Z 21.98N 179.38W MMHS

LEMBKE


TPPZ02 PGTW 010001

A. HURRICANE 12E (IGNACIO)

B. 31/2331Z

C. 21.92N

D. 151.93W

E. FIVE/GOES15

F. T4.0/4.5/W1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.1 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. MET AGREES WITH DT YIELDING A 4.0 WHILE
PT YIELDS A 3.5. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

LEMBKE


TPPZ01 PGTW 010000

A. HURRICANE 03C (KILO)

B. 31/2331Z

C. 22.16N

D. 179.74W

E. FOUR/GOES15

F. T4.5/5.5/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD
A DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT AGREE WITH DT YIELDING A 4.5. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

LEMBKE


TPPZ02 PGTW 312109

A. HURRICANE 12E (IGNACIO)

B. 31/2031Z

C. 21.88N

D. 151.24W

E. FIVE/GOES15

F. T4.0/5.0/W1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS 1.1 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 4.0. PT AGREES WITH DT YIELDING A 4.0 WHILE
MET YIELDS A 4.5. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
31/1722Z 21.23N 150.92W SSMS
31/1732Z 21.30N 151.07W SSMS

LEMBKE


TPPZ01 PGTW 312100

A. HURRICANE 03C (KILO)

B. 31/2031Z

C. 21.80N

D. 179.55W

E. FOUR/GOES15

F. T5.0/6.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY B
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.5. SUBTRACTED 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD
A DT OF 5.0. MET AND PT AGREE WITH DT YIELDING A 5.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

LEMBKE

END OF REPORT
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