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EASTERN/CENTRAL PACIFIC TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MESSAGES
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WTPZ32 KNHC 191142
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM POLO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
500 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 2014

... POLO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 107.6W
ABOUT 155 MI...235 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE PARALLEL TO
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY...AND PASS SOUTH OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE
NORTH OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. POLO IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AND SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...POLO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES NEAR THE COAST OF COLIMA...NAYARIT AND JALISCO STATES IN
MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


WTPZ22 KNHC 190850
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF POLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.1W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.4N 108.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 21.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N 111.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 107.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


WTPZ35 KWNH 190832
TCPEP5

REMNANTS OF ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD EP152014
300 AM MDT FRI SEP 19 2014

...REMNANT CIRCULATION OF ODILE IS DISSIPATING NEAR THE
ARIZONA-NEW MEXICO BORDER WHILE HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS...

SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND INTO PORTIONS OF WEST
TEXAS.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR ODILE. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF ODILE CONTINUES
TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO.
RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH ODILE CONTINUES TO FALL PRIMARILY EAST OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADARS AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN...WITH
EMBEDDED POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAIN WAS MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...AND ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS NEAR A STATIONARY
FRONT. IN ADDITION...NEW THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING IN WESTERN
TEXAS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. LATER TODAY. RAINFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD
WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN ENDING ACROSS NEW MEXICO BY TOMORROW
EVENING AND TEXAS BY SATURDAY.

HAZARDS
-------
RAINFALL...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ODILE IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT
IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO TAKE ALL NECESSARY
PRECAUTIONS TO MITIGATE THESE POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATIONS.

RAINFALL TOTALS
---------------
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM MDT

...ARIZONA...
EPHRAIM WASH 3.78
DOUGLAS 7.3 WNW 3.30
CLUFF RANCH 3.15
HEREFORD 9.0 SW 3.10
PORTRERO CANYON 3.07
DOUGLAS BISBEE INTL ARPT 3.05
NOGALES INTL ARPT 3.01
FORT HUACHUCA 2.79
SIERRA VISTA 9.2 SSE 2.63
DAN SADDLE 2.44
DAVIDSON CANYON AT I-10 2.09
FALCON FIELD 2.01
ITALIAN TRAP (REDINGTON PASS) 1.93
FRYE MESA RESERVOIR 1.77
SAN SIMON 2.6 S 1.65
DAN SADDLE (UPPER CDO) 1.65
SAFFORD MUNI ARPT 1.44

...NEW MEXICO...
MOGOLLON 3 WSW 4.13
GLENWOOD 3.63
CHAPARRAL 0.4 SE 3.50
RODEO 5.0 NNE 3.34
BONITO LAKE 6 WSW 3.10
SAN ANTONIO 25.6 SSW 3.06
BOSQUE DEL APACHE REFUGE 19 SW 3.06
DEMING MUNI ARPT 2.98
HILLSBORO 0.1 ESE 2.23
LA JOYA 2 WNW 2.15
LAS CRUCES INTL ARPT 2.10
CUTTER 2.10
CAPITAN 2 SW 2.00
DATIL 11 NNE 1.56
SOCORRO 2 S 1.43
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES MUNI ARPT 1.09

...TEXAS...
FLUVANNA 3 W 5.63
PLAINVIEW 4 SSW 4.31
GAIL 2ESE 3.86
POST 1NE 3.49
AMHERST 1NE 3.34
EL PASO 8 E 3.11
MIDLAND 4 ENE 3.00
KELP 3 SE 3.00
EL PASO INTL ARPT 2.68
PINE SPRINGS 2.47
THE PINERY RAWS 2.44
BIG SPRING 1 ESE 2.25
MONTANA VISTA 4 NE 2.20
GUADALUPE PASS 2.15
LUBBOCK INTL ARPT 1.17

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 900 AM MDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KREKELER
$$



FOPZ12 KNHC 190850
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 3( 4) 12(16) 7(23) 1(24) 1(25) X(25)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 3( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)

LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)

LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

MAZATLAN 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

SAN BLAS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

P VALLARTA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BARRA NAVIDAD 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

MANZANILLO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 3( 4) 7(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)

ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)

ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



FKPZ22 KNHC 190851
TCAPZ2

TROPICAL STORM POLO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172014
0900 UTC FRI SEP 19 2014

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20140919/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: POLO
NR: 013
PSN: N1854 W10706
MOV: NW 07KT
C: 0982HPA
MAX WIND: 060KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 191500 N1922 W10738
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 055KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 192100 N1948 W10809
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 055KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 200300 N2012 W10839
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 055KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 200900 N2033 W10912
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 055KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20140919/1500Z

$$


WTPN32 PHNC 191000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 17E (POLO) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 18.7N 106.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N 106.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 19.6N 107.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 20.4N 108.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.0N 110.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 21.7N 111.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 22.5N 114.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 22.5N 116.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 22.0N 117.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
191000Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 107.2W.
TROPICAL STORM 17E (POLO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 143 NM WEST OF
MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z, 192200Z, 200400Z AND 201000Z.//
NNNN

END OF REPORT
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