Tropical Storm Greg Severe Weather Advisory

EASTERN/CENTRAL PACIFIC TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MESSAGES
ISSUED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS


WTPZ32 KNHC 220832
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Greg Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072017
200 AM PDT Sat Jul 22 2017

...GREG SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 123.1W
ABOUT 1010 MI...1630 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Greg was
located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 123.1 West. Greg is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


WTPZ22 KNHC 220831
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.1W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.1W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 124.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.4N 127.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.3N 129.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.2N 131.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.7N 134.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.2N 137.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 123.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


WTPZ34 KNHC 220832
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017
400 AM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.6N 96.6W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E
was located near latitude 9.6 North, longitude 96.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20
km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. The
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today, and
it could become a hurricane by the end of the weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky


WTPZ24 KNHC 220832
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 96.6W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 96.6W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 96.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 10.1N 98.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.1N 100.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.1N 101.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.2N 103.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.1N 106.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 16.8N 109.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.6N 96.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY


WTPA31 PHFO 220900
TCPCP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fernanda Advisory Number 42
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062017
1100 PM HST Fri Jul 21 2017

...TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA REMAINS WELL EAST OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 145.4W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 825 MI...1330 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernanda was
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 145.4 West. Fernanda is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this
general motion is expected for the next couple days with an
increase in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, with Fernanda
becoming a remnant low Saturday or Saturday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Surf...Large swells generated by Fernanda will continue to build
through the weekend along east facing shores of the main Hawaiian
islands. The resultant surf will be large and potentially
dangerous. See products issued by the National Weather Service
forecast office in Honolulu for details.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema


WTPA21 PHFO 220900
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 145.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 145.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 144.9W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.4N 146.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.0N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.4N 151.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.6N 154.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 145.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA


FOPZ12 KNHC 220832
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

15N 125W 34 63 13(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
15N 125W 50 7 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
15N 125W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

15N 130W 34 X 2( 2) 51(53) 14(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
15N 130W 50 X X( X) 13(13) 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
15N 130W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

20N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 6(36) 1(37)
15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)

20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)

15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)

20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


FOPZ14 KNHC 220832
PWSEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)

SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)

ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)

SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)

10N 105W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)

15N 105W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 51(71) 3(74) 1(75)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 35(38) 3(41) X(41)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 3(23) X(23)

BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12)

MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12)

L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)

ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)

10N 100W 34 1 32(33) 5(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
10N 100W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
10N 100W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

15N 100W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12)

ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)

10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)

15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 33(43) 5(48)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10)

20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 14(33)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12)
20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)

ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 23(52)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 16(25)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13)

ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 30(35)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24)
20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY



FOPA11 PHFO 220901
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.

- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

20N 145W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

20N 150W 34 X 10(10) 11(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
20N 150W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

20N 151W 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
20N 151W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

20N 154W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA



FKPZ22 KNHC 220833
TCAPZ2

TROPICAL STORM GREG ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20170722/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: GREG
NR: 020
PSN: N1512 W12306
MOV: W 11KT
C: 1001HPA
MAX WIND: 045KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 221500 N1516 W12414
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 045KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 222100 N1519 W12524
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 045KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 230300 N1522 W12636
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 045KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 230900 N1522 W12748
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 045KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20170722/1500Z

$$


FKPZ24 KNHC 220832
TCAPZ4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20170722/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: NINE-E
NR: 004
PSN: N0936 W09636
MOV: WNW 11KT
C: 1006HPA
MAX WIND: 030KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 221500 N0956 W09740
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 035KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 222100 N1021 W09840
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 040KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 230300 N1051 W09937
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 045KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 230900 N1121 W10031
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 050KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20170722/1500Z

$$



FKPA21 PHFO 220901
TCAPA1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062017
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017

TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20170722/0900Z
TCAC: PHFO
TC: FERNANDA
NR: 042
PSN: N1900 W14524
MOV: WNW 07KT
C: 1004HPA
MAX WIND: 035KT
FCST PSN + 06 HR: 221500 N1916 W14620
FCST MAX WIND + 06 HR: 030KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 222100 N1933 W14721
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 030KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 230300 N1951 W14827
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 030KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 230900 N2006 W14933
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 030KT
RMK THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN
THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM
OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000...
0600...1200...AND 1800Z.
NXT MSG: 20170722/1500Z

$$


WTPN33 PHNC 221000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E (NINE) WARNING NR 004
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 9.4N 96.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N 96.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.1N 98.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.1N 100.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.1N 101.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 103.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 15.1N 106.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 16.8N 109.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 18.0N 113.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
221000Z POSITION NEAR 9.6N 96.8W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E (NINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1819 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FERNANDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GREG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


WTPN31 PHNC 221000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GREG) WARNING NR 020
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 15.2N 122.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 122.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 15.3N 124.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 15.4N 127.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 15.3N 129.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 15.2N 131.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 15.7N 134.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 17.2N 137.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 18.0N 139.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
221000Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 123.3W.
TROPICAL STORM 07E (GREG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1090 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND 231000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (FERNANDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E (NINE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


TPPZ01 PGTW 221207

A. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FERNANDA)

B. 22/1146Z

C. 19.15N

D. 145.87W

E. THREE/HMWRI8

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
22/0625Z 18.90N 144.98W MMHS

DAVIS


TPPZ01 PGTW 220906

A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FERNANDA)

B. 22/0846Z

C. 19.26N

D. 145.32W

E. THREE/GOES15

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

DAVIS

END OF REPORT
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